TE
Tyler Warren
INDTE3 · overall #49 · tier 1 · age 24
Projected points
162
10.8/gm
Value over replacement
58
repl 111
Range
141–183
sd 21
Week
9.6
vs BAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 8.2
- Carries / game
- 0.3
- Receptions / game
- 5.8
- Rec yards / game
- 60
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.02
- Rec TD / game
- 0.30
- Total TD / game
- 0.32
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 11.2
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.060
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.78
- OL pass protection
- +0.85
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 35%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- +0.12
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 31% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 4
- Effective contributors
- 1.49
- Top player's share
- 81%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.17
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- BAL,KC,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.67
- Opponents after
- WAS,PIT,TEN
- After matchup
- +0.88
- Flip edge
- -1.55
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.47
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
112.5
Per game
6.62
17-gm pace
113
Best / worst
13.3 / 1.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.9 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 0 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 7 | 4 | 79 | 0 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
| 4 | 13.3 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 0 |
| 5 | 10.4 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
| 6 | 12.3 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 1 |
| 7 | 12.9 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 1 |
| 8 | 5.3 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.6 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 | 9.9 | 10 | 8 | 99 | 0 |
| 12 | 4.5 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.2 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
| 14 | 1.7 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.9 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 | 3.0 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 | 4.3 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 0 |