Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Tyler Conklin

DET

TE29 · overall #192 · tier 7 · age 26

← back to rankings

Projected points

76

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-20

repl 111

Range

34–118

sd 42

Week

5.2

vs NO

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.5
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.1
Rec yards / game
31
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.13
Total TD / game
0.13
Games projected
13.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.5
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
1.030
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.86
OL pass protection
+0.77
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.25
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
60
Effective contributors
2.79
Top player's share
53%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.74

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NO,BUF,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.67
Opponents after
CAR,ARI
After matchup
+0.76
Flip edge
-0.09
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.13

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

6

Points

13.8

Per game

2.30

17-gm pace

39

Best / worst

6.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.222500
30.02000
40.81130
54.032300
101.711120
181.11160