Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Tyler Conklin

DET

TE48 · overall #278 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

35

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 112

Range

0–86

sd 51

Week

1.1

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.9
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.0
Rec yards / game
20
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.09
Total TD / game
0.09
Games projected
10.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.5
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
60
Effective contributors
2.79
Top player's share
53%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.74

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.95
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
+0.07
Flip edge
+0.87
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.16

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

6

Points

10.3

Per game

1.72

17-gm pace

29

Best / worst

5.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
15.2TE2022500
30.0TE572000
40.3TE521130
53.0TE2732300
101.2TE4111120
180.6TE491160