Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Ty Simpson

LAROOKIE R1

QB83 · overall #636 · tier – · age 23

← back to rankings

Projected points

28

2.6/gm

Value over replacement

-139

repl 250

Range

8–47

sd 20

Week

1.6

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
50
Pass yards
361
Pass TD
2.3
Carries
1
Rush yards
33
Rush TD
0.0
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.74
OL pass protection
+0.72
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.61
Scheme creativity
+1.28
Play action / motion
32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PHI,BUF,ARI
Window matchup
-0.02
Opponents after
LV,LAC,WAS
After matchup
+0.31
Flip edge
-0.33
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.33

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Ty Simpson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.