Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Ty Simpson

LAROOKIE R1

QB75 · overall #686 · tier

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Projected points

40

2.7/gm

Value over replacement

-204

repl 261

Range

22–58

sd 18

Week

2.6

vs SF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
4.9
Pass yards / game
35
Pass TD / game
0.22
Carries / game
0.1
Rush yards / game
3
Rush TD / game
0.00
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
62.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.83
OL pass protection
+0.80
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.62
Scheme creativity
+1.30
Play action / motion
32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SF,NYG,DEN
Window matchup
+0.44
Opponents after
PHI,BUF,ARI
After matchup
+0.49
Flip edge
-0.04
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.48

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Ty Simpson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.