Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Terry McLaurin

WAS

WR35 · overall #89 · tier 8 · age 31

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Projected points

124

8.9/gm

Value over replacement

20

repl 119

Range

81–168

sd 44

Week

8.5

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.1
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.8
Rec yards / game
50
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.34
Total TD / game
0.34
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.8
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.813
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.59
Flip edge
+0.54
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

10

Points

114.2

Per game

11.42

17-gm pace

194

Best / worst

22.6 / 4.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.7WR694227000
29.8WR479548000
310.4WR364374000
814.4WR204354100
1322.6WR814796100
147.1WR456341000
1515.9WR194369100
168.3WR474353000
1711.3WR317563000
189.7WR274457000