Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Ted Hurst

TBROOKIE R3

WR156 · overall #366 · tier – · age 22

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Projected points

61

4.1/gm

Value over replacement

-50

repl 119

Range

43–79

sd 18

Week

4.7

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
48
Carries
1
Receptions
31
Rec yards
417
Rush yards
4
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.2
Total TD
2.2
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.77
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
+0.22
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.41
Flip edge
-0.18
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.64

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Ted Hurst — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.