Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Ted Hurst

TBROOKIE R3

WR129 · overall #426 · tier

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Projected points

48

3.2/gm

Value over replacement

-59

repl 115

Range

30–66

sd 18

Week

3.0

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
1.4
Rec yards / game
18
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.11
Total TD / game
0.11
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.88
OL pass protection
+1.32
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.77
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CIN,CLE,MIN
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
GB,DAL,PIT
After matchup
+0.46
Flip edge
-0.71
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.62

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Ted Hurst — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.