WR
Stefon Diggs
WASWR42 · overall #99 · tier 8 · age 32
Projected points
121
8.7/gm
Value over replacement
17
repl 119
Range
50–191
sd 70
Week
11.0
vs IND
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 6.1
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 4.1
- Rec yards / game
- 48
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.01
- Rec TD / game
- 0.30
- Total TD / game
- 0.31
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.0
- Games of history
- 58
- Age multiplier
- 0.782
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.8
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.49
- OL pass protection
- -0.84
- OL continuity
- 84%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.16
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.70
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- IND,NYG,SF
- Window matchup
- -0.05
- Opponents after
- PHI,LA
- After matchup
- -0.59
- Flip edge
- +0.54
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.41
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
125.3
Per game
7.37
17-gm pace
125
Best / worst
16.1 / 2.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.7 | WR40 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.2 | WR73 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.3 | WR78 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 10.1 | WR21 | 7 | 6 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 14.6 | WR7 | 12 | 10 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.8 | WR54 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.9 | WR29 | 7 | 7 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 7.4 | WR31 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 9.8 | WR22 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 10.6 | WR22 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 10.5 | WR16 | 11 | 9 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 2.0 | WR68 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.6 | WR62 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.6 | WR72 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 13.8 | WR12 | 10 | 9 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 16.1 | WR6 | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 4.3 | WR39 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |