Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Salvon Ahmed

CHI

RB91 · overall #322 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

40

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-42

repl 116

Range

13–67

sd 27

Week

1.1

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
19
Carries
30
Receptions
14
Rec yards
101
Rush yards
126
Rush TD
1.2
Rec TD
0.3
Total TD
1.5
Games projected
11.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.57
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
+0.66
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Salvon Ahmed — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.