Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Salvon Ahmed

CHI

RB91 · overall #322 · tier – · age 27

← back to rankings

Projected points

40

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-42

repl 116

Range

13–67

sd 27

Week

1.1

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.7
Carries / game
2.7
Receptions / game
1.3
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
11
Rush TD / game
0.10
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.13
Games projected
11.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.57
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
+0.66
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Salvon Ahmed — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.