Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Rashid Shaheed

SEA

WR67 · overall #157 · tier 9 · age 28

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Projected points

92

7.2/gm

Value over replacement

-4

repl 119

Range

57–127

sd 35

Week

4.3

vs LAC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.8
Carries / game
0.4
Receptions / game
3.0
Rec yards / game
40
Rush yards / game
3
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.23
Total TD / game
0.24
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.01
OL pass protection
+0.28
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
48
Effective contributors
2.58
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.54

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup
-0.18
Opponents after
KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup
+0.12
Flip edge
-0.29
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.42

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

18

Points

127.1

Per game

7.06

17-gm pace

120

Best / worst

19.4 / 0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.3WR509633000
213.2WR255452100
36.2WR476442000
47.2WR425447025
519.4WR854114100
64.8WR506428000
76.0WR479440000
810.0WR3212975000
99.3WR319568000
102.8WR661130220
113.9WR595227012
120.5WR96200015
132.1WR83317019
1414.7WR135467000
159.6WR30757401-3
169.1WR331000131
171.3WR97118000
180.7WR103112000