Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Oronde Gadsden II

LAC

TE13 · overall #117 · tier 3 · age 23

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Projected points

110

7.7/gm

Value over replacement

10

repl 112

Range

67–153

sd 43

Week

4.5

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.5
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.9
Rec yards / game
44
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.15
Total TD / game
0.15
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.8
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.45
OL pass protection
+0.57
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
38
Effective contributors
1.91
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.41

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SEA,DEN,KC
Window matchup
-0.77
Opponents after
LA,HOU
After matchup
-0.29
Flip edge
-0.48
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.16

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

106.9

Per game

7.13

17-gm pace

121

Best / worst

25.9 / 1.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
37.1TE1775460
42.6TE3732160
51.9TE4211140
68.3TE1787680
725.9TE1971641
816.2TE455771
99.3TE1555680
102.8TE3163130
115.1TE2052410
133.2TE3321270
141.2TE504170
158.1TE1554610
161.2TE521170
1710.7TE1163321
183.3TE3522230