Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Michael Pittman

PIT

WR47 · overall #110 · tier 9 · age 28

← back to rankings

Projected points

124

8.3/gm

Value over replacement

12

repl 119

Range

43–205

sd 81

Week

5.3

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.4
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
4.2
Rec yards / game
46
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.26
Total TD / game
0.26
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.4
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
+0.09
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.01

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

202.4

Per game

11.91

17-gm pace

202

Best / worst

23.5 / 2.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
120.0WR88680100
28.0WR635440000
319.3WR136673100
415.1WR2210541100
514.9WR206539100
64.0WR763220000
720.8WR139758100
823.5WR39895100
920.5WR9129115000
103.9WR622219000
1213.7WR248527100
132.3WR884113000
1416.9WR1312979000
155.6WR645326000
167.2WR565432000
173.6WR803216000
183.1WR744211000