Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Marquise Brown

PHI

WR91 · overall #216 · tier – · age 29

← back to rankings

Projected points

45

5.2/gm

Value over replacement

-19

repl 119

Range

0–102

sd 57

Week

1.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.9
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.4
Rec yards / game
29
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.21
Total TD / game
0.21
Games projected
8.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.9
Games of history
43
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
63
Effective contributors
2.93
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.79

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
+0.11
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.99
Flip edge
-0.88
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

137.7

Per game

8.61

17-gm pace

146

Best / worst

20.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
119.9WR9161099000
28.0WR635530000
38.2WR446442000
412.8WR265338100
58.8WR498448000
620.5WR84445200
79.4WR334214100
80.0WR97100000
99.3WR404273000
118.0WR424440000
122.0WR841110000
1310.0WR362220100
144.5WR592135000
165.2WR703322000
171.7WR101317000
189.4WR296364000