Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Marquise Brown

PHI

WR91 · overall #216 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

45

5.2/gm

Value over replacement

-19

repl 119

Range

0–102

sd 57

Week

1.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.9
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.4
Rec yards / game
29
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.21
Total TD / game
0.21
Games projected
8.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.9
Games of history
43
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
63
Effective contributors
2.93
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.79

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
+0.11
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.99
Flip edge
-0.88
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

113.2

Per game

7.08

17-gm pace

120

Best / worst

18.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
114.9WR13161099000
25.5WR685530000
36.2WR476442000
411.3WR245338100
56.8WR508448000
618.5WR84445200
78.4WR304214100
80.0WR96100000
98.3WR364273000
116.0WR454440000
121.5WR841110000
139.0WR342220100
144.0WR562135000
163.7WR733322000
171.2WR100317000
187.9WR266364000