Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

MarShawn Lloyd

GB

RB61 · overall #147 · tier 9 · age 25

← back to rankings

Projected points

67

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 110

Range

51–83

sd 16

Week

3.9

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
21
Carries
86
Receptions
16
Rec yards
111
Rush yards
339
Rush TD
2.0
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
2.2
Games projected
10.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.8
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.1
Projected plays / game
60.4
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
-0.65
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
35
Effective contributors
2.10
Top player's share
61%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.37

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIN,NYJ,ATL
Window matchup
+0.43
Opponents after
TB,CHI,DAL
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
+0.25
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.32

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for MarShawn Lloyd — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.