QB
Malik Willis
MIAQB23 · overall #176 · tier 5 · age 27
Projected points
126
14.7/gm
Value over replacement
-8
repl 250
Range
68–184
sd 58
Week
8.1
@ MIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 217
- Pass yards
- 1599
- Pass TD
- 9.7
- Carries
- 32
- Rush yards
- 148
- Rush TD
- 1.2
- Games projected
- 8.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.8
- Games of history
- 19
- Age multiplier
- 1.025
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.1
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.09
- OL pass protection
- -0.47
- OL continuity
- 69%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 46%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- +1.42
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 73%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- MIN,CIN
- Window matchup
- -1.31
- Opponents after
- NYJ,NE,DET
- After matchup
- +0.39
- Flip edge
- -1.69
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.78
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
4
Points
51.2
Per game
12.79
17-gm pace
218
Best / worst
31.5 / 0.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 5.8 | QB28 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.6 | QB29 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | 13.2 | QB20 | 9 | 11 | 121 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 | 31.5 | QB3 | 18 | 21 | 288 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 60 | 2 |