Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Malik Washington

MIA

WR72 · overall #184 · tier 10 · age 25

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Projected points

88

6.0/gm

Value over replacement

-17

repl 115

Range

51–124

sd 36

Week

5.0

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
65
Carries
10
Receptions
42
Rec yards
434
Rush yards
53
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
2.2
Total TD
2.8
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.1
Games of history
31
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.25
OL pass protection
-0.63
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
LV,SF,KC
Window matchup
-1.26
Opponents after
MIN,CIN
After matchup
-1.10
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.84

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

93.7

Per game

5.51

17-gm pace

94

Best / worst

11.6 / 1.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
13.95220019
29.02120323
34.753120220
43.13213028
52.0540000
64.35422011
75.58530000
811.65436100
95.633480313
108.3329114
115.73342000
135.05430000
142.54310000
151.51110000
169.71123019
171.0314011
1810.34361222