Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Malik Washington

MIA

WR77 · overall #180 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

100

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 119

Range

64–136

sd 36

Week

4.8

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.1
Carries / game
0.7
Receptions / game
3.4
Rec yards / game
35
Rush yards / game
4
Rush TD / game
0.04
Rec TD / game
0.15
Total TD / game
0.19
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.1
Games of history
31
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
69%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIN,CIN
Window matchup
-1.52
Opponents after
NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup
+0.40
Flip edge
-1.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.70

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

116.7

Per game

6.86

17-gm pace

117

Best / worst

13.6 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.9WR685220019
29.5WR502120323
36.2WR6053120220
44.1WR753213028
54.0WR71540000
66.3WR525422011
78.0WR418530000
813.6WR255436100
97.1WR5233480313
109.3WR37329114
117.2WR443342000
137.0WR485430000
144.0WR654310000
152.0WR921110000
1610.2WR341123019
171.5WR106314011
1811.8WR204361222