TE
Luke Musgrave
GBTE38 · overall #241 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
20
2.9/gm
Value over replacement
-29
repl 112
Range
0–45
sd 25
Week
0.0
@ TB
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.4
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 1.8
- Rec yards / game
- 17
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.05
- Total TD / game
- 0.05
- Games projected
- 7.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.0
- Games of history
- 31
- Age multiplier
- 1.030
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.1
- Projected plays / game
- 60.5
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- -0.62
- OL pass protection
- -0.44
- OL continuity
- 60%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- +0.91
- Scheme creativity
- +0.54
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 56
- Effective contributors
- 3.04
- Top player's share
- 45%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.69
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TB,CHI,DAL
- Window matchup
- +0.19
- Opponents after
- DET,CAR,NE
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- +0.20
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.05
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
13
Points
37.2
Per game
2.86
17-gm pace
49
Best / worst
7.2 / 0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9 | TE53 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | 4.2 | TE30 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.1 | TE50 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | 1.2 | TE48 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 8 | 1.0 | TE44 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 9 | 4.9 | TE30 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 | 3.8 | TE26 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.4 | TE54 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.2 | TE47 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.8 | TE37 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.2 | TE25 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 | 7.2 | TE17 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 0 |
| 16 | 5.3 | TE20 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 |