Luke Musgrave

TE38 · overall #241 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

2.9/gm

Value over replacement

-29

repl 112

Range

0–45

sd 25

Week

0.0

@ TB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 2.4
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 1.8
Rec yards / game: 17
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.05
Total TD / game: 0.05
Games projected: 7.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.0
Games of history: 31
Age multiplier: 1.030
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 35.1
Projected plays / game: 60.5
Projected pass rate: 55%
OL run block: -0.62
OL pass protection: -0.44
OL continuity: 60%
2TE rate: 32%
3WR rate: 60%
1st-down pass rate: 41%
Run friendly: +0.91
Scheme creativity: +0.54
Play action / motion: 23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 56
Effective contributors: 3.04
Top player's share: 45%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.69

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TB,CHI,DAL
Window matchup: +0.19
Opponents after: DET,CAR,NE
After matchup: -0.01
Flip edge: +0.20
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.05

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

25.2

Per game

1.94

17-gm pace

Best / worst

5.2 / -0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	0.4	TE53	1	1	4
2	3.2	TE25	2	2	32
4	0.6	TE48	1	1	6
6	0.7	TE47	2	1	7
8	0.5	TE44	1	1	5
9	3.4	TE28	3	3	34
10	2.3	TE28	3	3	23
11	-0.1	TE68	2	1	-1
12	0.7	TE47	2	1	7
13	2.3	TE32	1	1	23
14	2.2	TE23	4	2	22
15	5.2	TE17	6	4	52
16	3.8	TE19	3	3	38