Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Kenny Gainwell

TB

RB38 · overall #103 · tier 7 · age 27

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Projected points

125

8.2/gm

Value over replacement

15

repl 116

Range

65–185

sd 60

Week

4.2

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
49
Carries
108
Receptions
40
Rec yards
281
Rush yards
480
Rush TD
3.4
Rec TD
0.9
Total TD
4.3
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.1
Games of history
67
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
62
Effective contributors
2.89
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.77

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.32
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

184.8

Per game

10.87

17-gm pace

185

Best / worst

28.4 / 1.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.8RB4271904340
25.1RB41520053160
39.1RB28416111100
428.4RB31999266350
66.6RB30622066140
72.5RB4931402210
82.5RB4953102240
95.4RB353-1054350
101.4RB550003240
1126.0RB5924087812
1215.2RB101092066300
135.5RB44520032250
1413.2RB19415176270
1516.1RB111380077460
1621.3RB9950075781
175.3RB38726043120
1817.4RB6510198640