RB
Kenny Gainwell
TBRB33 · overall #106 · tier 7 · age 27
Projected points
121
8.0/gm
Value over replacement
17
repl 110
Range
61–181
sd 60
Week
8.1
@ CIN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.2
- Carries / game
- 6.8
- Receptions / game
- 2.5
- Rec yards / game
- 18
- Rush yards / game
- 31
- Rush TD / game
- 0.22
- Rec TD / game
- 0.06
- Total TD / game
- 0.28
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.1
- Games of history
- 67
- Age multiplier
- 0.934
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.88
- OL pass protection
- +1.32
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +0.57
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 58%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 62
- Effective contributors
- 2.89
- Top player's share
- 43%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.77
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CIN,CLE,MIN
- Window matchup
- +0.01
- Opponents after
- GB,DAL,PIT
- After matchup
- +0.20
- Flip edge
- -0.20
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.28
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
148.3
Per game
8.72
17-gm pace
148
Best / worst
25.4 / 0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.3 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
| 3 | 8.6 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 | 25.4 | 19 | 99 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.5 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | 1.5 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.4 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | 22.5 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 2 |
| 12 | 12.2 | 10 | 92 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.5 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 | 10.2 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 | 12.6 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 | 18.8 | 9 | 50 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 78 | 1 |
| 17 | 3.8 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 | 13.4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 0 |