Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Kenny Gainwell

TB

RB38 · overall #103 · tier 7 · age 27

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Projected points

125

8.2/gm

Value over replacement

15

repl 116

Range

65–185

sd 60

Week

4.2

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.2
Carries / game
7.1
Receptions / game
2.6
Rec yards / game
19
Rush yards / game
32
Rush TD / game
0.22
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.28
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.1
Games of history
67
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
62
Effective contributors
2.89
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.77

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.32
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

184.8

Per game

10.87

17-gm pace

185

Best / worst

28.4 / 1.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.8RB4271904340
25.1RB41520053160
39.1RB28416111100
428.4RB31999266350
66.6RB30622066140
72.5RB4931402210
82.5RB4953102240
95.4RB353-1054350
101.4RB550003240
1126.0RB5924087812
1215.2RB101092066300
135.5RB44520032250
1413.2RB19415176270
1516.1RB111380077460
1621.3RB9950075781
175.3RB38726043120
1817.4RB6510198640