RB
Kaelon Black
SFROOKIE R3RB121 · overall #406 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
53
3.5/gm
Value over replacement
-55
repl 116
Range
35–71
sd 18
Week
3.7
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 16
- Carries
- 62
- Receptions
- 12
- Rec yards
- 84
- Rush yards
- 266
- Rush TD
- 1.9
- Rec TD
- 0.4
- Total TD
- 2.3
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- –
- Games of history
- 0
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.5
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.01
- OL pass protection
- -0.56
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 17%
- 3WR rate
- 45%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.64
- Scheme creativity
- +0.36
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 5
- Effective contributors
- 1.54
- Top player's share
- 77%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.18
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DEN,SEA,WAS
- Window matchup
- -0.31
- Opponents after
- ATL,LV
- After matchup
- +0.27
- Flip edge
- -0.57
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.94
Last season game log
week by week
No 2025-season weekly record for Kaelon Black — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.