Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Juwan Johnson

NO

TE19 · overall #142 · tier 5 · age 30

← back to rankings

Projected points

103

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 112

Range

75–131

sd 28

Week

11.1

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.0
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.6
Rec yards / game
37
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.25
Total TD / game
0.25
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.4
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
11
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
72%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
-0.09
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.03
Flip edge
-0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

102.9

Per game

6.05

17-gm pace

103

Best / worst

15.2 / -0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.6TE10118760
210.9TE395491
35.1TE1786510
42.8TE2933280
51.7TE3742170
6-0.5TE7022150
77.9TE1475790
85.3TE1485530
99.1TE743311
1015.2TE244921
124.6TE1476460
133.9TE2195390
143.8TE2044380
153.0TE2544300
168.9TE1598890
179.5TE944950
184.1TE2153610