Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Juwan Johnson

NO

TE19 · overall #142 · tier 5 · age 30

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Projected points

103

6.9/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 112

Range

75–131

sd 28

Week

11.1

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.0
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.6
Rec yards / game
37
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.25
Total TD / game
0.25
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.4
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
11
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
72%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
-0.09
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.03
Flip edge
-0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

141.4

Per game

8.32

17-gm pace

141

Best / worst

17.2 / 0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
111.6TE4118760
213.4TE395491
38.1TE1386510
44.3TE2833280
52.7TE3542170
60.5TE5522150
710.4TE1275790
87.8TE1185530
910.6TE843311
1017.2TE344921
127.6TE1376460
136.4TE1895390
145.8TE1844380
155.0TE2344300
1612.9TE798890
1711.5TE1044950
185.6TE2153610