TE
Justin Joly
DENROOKIE R5TE133 · overall #619 · tier –
Projected points
11
0.7/gm
Value over replacement
-93
repl 111
Range
0–29
sd 18
Week
0.6
@ KC
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 7
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 5
- Rec yards
- 55
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.4
- Total TD
- 0.4
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- –
- Games of history
- 0
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.2
- Projected plays / game
- 62.2
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +1.24
- OL pass protection
- +1.55
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 23%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.38
- Scheme creativity
- +0.14
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 32
- Effective contributors
- 2.02
- Top player's share
- 67%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.35
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- KC,JAX,LA
- Window matchup
- -0.57
- Opponents after
- SF,LAC,SEA
- After matchup
- -0.23
- Flip edge
- -0.34
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.18
Last season game log
week by week
No 2025-season weekly record for Justin Joly — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.