TE
Justin Joly
MIAROOKIE R5TE137 · overall #599 · tier – · age 22
Projected points
10
0.7/gm
Value over replacement
-94
repl 112
Range
0–28
sd 18
Week
0.2
@ MIN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 0.5
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 0.3
- Rec yards / game
- 3
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.03
- Total TD / game
- 0.03
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- –
- Games of history
- 0
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.1
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.09
- OL pass protection
- -0.47
- OL continuity
- 69%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 46%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- +1.42
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 73%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 3.63
- Top player's share
- 33%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- MIN,CIN
- Window matchup
- -0.65
- Opponents after
- NYJ,NE,DET
- After matchup
- +0.20
- Flip edge
- -0.86
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.73
Last season game log
week by week
No 2025-season weekly record for Justin Joly — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.