QB
Josh Johnson
CINQB67 · overall #616 · tier – · age 40
Projected points
38
4.4/gm
Value over replacement
-99
repl 250
Range
9–68
sd 30
Week
1.1
vs JAX
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 12.3
- Pass yards / game
- 83
- Pass TD / game
- 0.54
- Carries / game
- 0.7
- Rush yards / game
- 5
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Games projected
- 8.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.8
- Games of history
- 8
- Age multiplier
- 0.904
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 60%
- OL run block
- -0.73
- OL pass protection
- -1.39
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 40%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.75
- Scheme creativity
- -0.67
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- JAX,MIA
- Window matchup
- +0.38
- Opponents after
- BAL,TEN,ATL
- After matchup
- -0.23
- Flip edge
- +0.61
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.58
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
24.4
Per game
8.13
17-gm pace
138
Best / worst
15.7 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | -0.3 | QB41 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 8.9 | QB22 | 15 | 23 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | 15.7 | QB13 | 14 | 22 | 131 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 1 |