Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Josh Johnson

CIN

QB67 · overall #616 · tier – · age 40

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Projected points

38

4.4/gm

Value over replacement

-99

repl 250

Range

9–68

sd 30

Week

1.1

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
12.3
Pass yards / game
83
Pass TD / game
0.54
Carries / game
0.7
Rush yards / game
5
Rush TD / game
0.03
Games projected
8.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.8
Games of history
8
Age multiplier
0.904
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.38
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
+0.61
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.58

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

3

Points

24.4

Per game

8.13

17-gm pace

138

Best / worst

15.7 / -0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
16-0.3QB41594301100
178.9QB221523198002100
1815.7QB131422131119451