RB
Josh Jacobs
GBRB9 · overall #14 · tier 3 · age 28
Projected points
204
14.3/gm
Value over replacement
107
repl 110
Range
156–251
sd 47
Week
11.9
@ MIN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.3
- Carries / game
- 16.5
- Receptions / game
- 2.6
- Rec yards / game
- 20
- Rush yards / game
- 66
- Rush TD / game
- 0.62
- Rec TD / game
- 0.03
- Total TD / game
- 0.65
- Games projected
- 14.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 16.4
- Games of history
- 62
- Age multiplier
- 0.915
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.1
- Projected plays / game
- 60.4
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- -0.65
- OL pass protection
- -0.47
- OL continuity
- 64%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- +0.90
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 35
- Effective contributors
- 2.10
- Top player's share
- 61%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.37
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- MIN,NYJ,ATL
- Window matchup
- +0.43
- Opponents after
- TB,CHI,DAL
- After matchup
- +0.19
- Flip edge
- +0.25
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.32
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
15
Points
201.1
Per game
13.41
17-gm pace
228
Best / worst
27.7 / 0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.0 | 19 | 66 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | 14.4 | 23 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.4 | 16 | 30 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 4 | 27.7 | 22 | 86 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 0 |
| 6 | 27.0 | 18 | 93 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 57 | 0 |
| 7 | 17.8 | 13 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | 10.5 | 13 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 9 | 16.0 | 17 | 87 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 | 14.7 | 21 | 74 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 | 4.0 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 9.1 | 17 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | 15.2 | 20 | 86 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | 21.2 | 12 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| 16 | 2.8 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |