Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Jordan Mason

MIN

RB48 · overall #164 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

10

4.8/gm

Value over replacement

-5

repl 116

Range

0–34

sd 24

Week

0.0

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.8
Carries / game
6.4
Receptions / game
0.6
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
29
Rush TD / game
0.16
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.16
Games projected
2.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.4
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.05
OL pass protection
+0.10
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.76
Scheme creativity
+0.22
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
51
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIA,NO
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
IND,DET,BUF
After matchup
+0.33
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.87

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

121.9

Per game

7.62

17-gm pace

130

Best / worst

23.6 / 1.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
18.0RB27156801170
24.8RB4393003280
323.6RB41611620000
48.7RB351657033150
511.1RB23135214340
711.7RB15155710000
81.1RB584301130
94.2RB41103601110
103.6RB4442501160
1110.5RB2264510000
124.2RB4384200000
135.3RB4664701110
1411.2RB21115210000
152.9RB55102900000
161.6RB632501160
189.4RB22149400000