Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Jordan Mason

MIN

RB50 · overall #174 · tier 8 · age 27

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Projected points

81

6.0/gm

Value over replacement

-12

repl 110

Range

43–120

sd 39

Week

5.1

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.2
Carries / game
7.6
Receptions / game
1.0
Rec yards / game
6
Rush yards / game
35
Rush TD / game
0.23
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.23
Games projected
13.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.4
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.03
OL pass protection
+0.12
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.77
Scheme creativity
+0.21
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
51
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
GB,CHI,TB
Window matchup
-0.34
Opponents after
MIA,NO
After matchup
+0.52
Flip edge
-0.86
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.69

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

121.9

Per game

7.62

17-gm pace

130

Best / worst

23.6 / 1.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
18.0156801170
24.893003280
323.61611620000
48.71657033150
511.1135214340
711.7155710000
81.14301130
94.2103601110
103.642501160
1110.564510000
124.284200000
135.364701110
1411.2115210000
152.9102900000
161.62501160
189.4149400000