Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Jordan Mason

MIN

RB48 · overall #164 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

10

4.8/gm

Value over replacement

-5

repl 116

Range

0–34

sd 24

Week

0.0

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.8
Carries / game
6.4
Receptions / game
0.6
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
29
Rush TD / game
0.16
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.16
Games projected
2.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.4
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.05
OL pass protection
+0.10
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.76
Scheme creativity
+0.22
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
51
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIA,NO
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
IND,DET,BUF
After matchup
+0.33
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.87

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

114.9

Per game

7.18

17-gm pace

122

Best / worst

23.6 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.5RB25156801170
23.8RB4293003280
323.6RB31611620000
47.2RB361657033150
59.6RB22135214340
711.7RB14155710000
80.6RB604301130
93.7RB38103601110
103.1RB4342501160
1110.5RB2064510000
124.2RB3884200000
134.8RB4464701110
1411.2RB20115210000
152.9RB52102900000
161.1RB662501160
189.4RB19149400000