QB
Joe Flacco
CINQB45 · overall #609 · tier 9 · age 41
Projected points
82
7.8/gm
Value over replacement
-90
repl 261
Range
38–126
sd 44
Week
5.8
vs TB
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 216
- Pass yards
- 1399
- Pass TD
- 9.3
- Carries
- 13
- Rush yards
- 49
- Rush TD
- 0.4
- Games projected
- 10.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.5
- Games of history
- 30
- Age multiplier
- 0.897
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 60%
- OL run block
- -0.72
- OL pass protection
- -1.37
- OL continuity
- 99%
- 2TE rate
- 40%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.75
- Scheme creativity
- -0.69
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- TB,HOU,PIT
- Window matchup
- +0.38
- Opponents after
- JAX,MIA
- After matchup
- +0.26
- Flip edge
- +0.12
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.52
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
13
Points
146.7
Per game
11.28
17-gm pace
192
Best / worst
30.7 / 0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12.2 | 31 | 45 | 290 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 25 | 45 | 199 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 21 | 36 | 142 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 16 | 34 | 184 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 6 | 18.8 | 29 | 45 | 219 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 26.0 | 31 | 47 | 342 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | 24.3 | 21 | 34 | 223 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| 9 | 30.7 | 31 | 47 | 470 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | 9.9 | 23 | 40 | 199 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | 9.6 | 19 | 37 | 183 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.2 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |