QB
Jared Goff
DETQB15 · overall #164 · tier 5 · age 31
Projected points
243
15.7/gm
Value over replacement
-10
repl 261
Range
198–289
sd 46
Week
17.1
vs NO
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 483
- Pass yards
- 3722
- Pass TD
- 25.6
- Carries
- 25
- Rush yards
- 63
- Rush TD
- 0.4
- Games projected
- 15.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 17.7
- Games of history
- 68
- Age multiplier
- 0.974
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.5
- Projected plays / game
- 62.6
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.86
- OL pass protection
- +0.77
- OL continuity
- 43%
- 2TE rate
- 33%
- 3WR rate
- 64%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.25
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 28% / 60%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 43
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.45
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NO,BUF,NYJ
- Window matchup
- +1.02
- Opponents after
- CAR,ARI
- After matchup
- +0.25
- Flip edge
- +0.77
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.22
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
297.1
Per game
17.47
17-gm pace
297
Best / worst
34.0 / 2.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.9 | 31 | 39 | 225 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 2 | 34.0 | 23 | 28 | 334 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.7 | 20 | 28 | 202 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 4 | 12.7 | 16 | 27 | 168 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 20.1 | 19 | 23 | 258 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | 16.8 | 23 | 29 | 203 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 | 10.3 | 20 | 29 | 241 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 9 | 19.4 | 25 | 37 | 284 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 24.8 | 25 | 33 | 320 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 12.1 | 14 | 37 | 255 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | 17.2 | 28 | 42 | 279 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 20.6 | 20 | 26 | 256 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 | 16.2 | 25 | 34 | 309 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | 25.5 | 25 | 41 | 338 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 26.5 | 34 | 54 | 364 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.1 | 18 | 29 | 197 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | 15.2 | 27 | 42 | 331 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |