TE
Ian Thomas
LVTE104 · overall #498 · tier – · age 30
Projected points
17
1.4/gm
Value over replacement
-70
repl 112
Range
2–32
sd 15
Week
0.9
vs KC
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.2
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 0.9
- Rec yards / game
- 8
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.02
- Total TD / game
- 0.02
- Games projected
- 12.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.4
- Games of history
- 33
- Age multiplier
- 0.911
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.08
- OL pass protection
- -0.32
- OL continuity
- 50%
- 2TE rate
- 42%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- +0.59
- Scheme creativity
- -0.05
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 92
- Effective contributors
- 2.41
- Top player's share
- 55%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.04
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- KC,NE,BUF
- Window matchup
- -0.43
- Opponents after
- LA,NYJ,SF
- After matchup
- -0.33
- Flip edge
- -0.11
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.37
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
9
Points
11.4
Per game
1.27
17-gm pace
22
Best / worst
3.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.0 | TE57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | TE54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 2.0 | TE35 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.4 | TE52 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.9 | TE49 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.0 | TE34 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 | 3.6 | TE20 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.8 | TE49 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.7 | TE31 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 |