Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Ian Thomas

LV

TE104 · overall #498 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

17

1.4/gm

Value over replacement

-70

repl 112

Range

2–32

sd 15

Week

0.9

vs KC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.2
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.9
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.02
Games projected
12.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.4
Games of history
33
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.08
OL pass protection
-0.32
OL continuity
50%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.59
Scheme creativity
-0.05
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
92
Effective contributors
2.41
Top player's share
55%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.04

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
KC,NE,BUF
Window matchup
-0.43
Opponents after
LA,NYJ,SF
After matchup
-0.33
Flip edge
-0.11
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

9

Points

24.4

Per game

2.71

17-gm pace

46

Best / worst

7.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.0TE570000
40.0TE560000
55.0TE2933200
61.4TE531140
91.9TE491190
113.0TE3911200
127.6TE1744360
131.8TE501180
143.7TE2922170