Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Hunter Henry

NE

TE23 · overall #147 · tier 5 · age 31

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Projected points

102

6.8/gm

Value over replacement

-2

repl 112

Range

73–131

sd 29

Week

4.4

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.9
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.4
Rec yards / game
36
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.28
Total TD / game
0.28
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
6
Effective contributors
1.60
Top player's share
76%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.21

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.15
Flip edge
+0.11
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

118.8

Per game

6.99

17-gm pace

119

Best / worst

21.0 / 0.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.6TE1484660
20.9TE423190
321.0TE2118902
49.9TE822391
54.6TE2242460
62.7TE3033270
73.3TE2554330
86.7TE111171
95.1TE2164510
100.9TE434190
114.5TE1464450
1217.5TE11071151
137.3TE1364730
151.8TE3731180
169.5TE876351
1710.9TE733491
185.6TE1655560