Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Harold Fannin Jr.

CLE

TE6 · overall #67 · tier 2 · age 22

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Projected points

140

9.6/gm

Value over replacement

38

repl 112

Range

100–179

sd 40

Week

8.9

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
7.3
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
5.2
Rec yards / game
47
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.35
Total TD / game
0.37
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.8
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
84
Effective contributors
2.07
Top player's share
63%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.88

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.40
Flip edge
-0.18
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.61

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

114.4

Per game

7.15

17-gm pace

122

Best / worst

17.4 / 2.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.6TE1497630
24.8TE1555480
32.5TE3043250
42.5TE3062240
57.3TE1644131
68.1TE11107810
73.6TE2354360
812.4TE586621
104.4TE1874440
112.6TE2652260
124.4TE1664400
138.3TE753431
1417.4TE11181141
155.0TE18147480
1615.5TE264341
179.0TE1122301