Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Evan Engram

DEN

TE27 · overall #181 · tier 6 · age 32

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Projected points

89

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 112

Range

53–124

sd 36

Week

5.0

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
73
Carries
0
Receptions
53
Rec yards
506
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.2
Total TD
2.2
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.1
Games of history
59
Age multiplier
0.865
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.17
OL pass protection
+1.48
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
+0.15
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
32
Effective contributors
2.02
Top player's share
67%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup
-0.26
Opponents after
ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup
+0.51
Flip edge
-0.77
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.31

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

77.8

Per game

4.86

17-gm pace

83

Best / worst

11.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.6TE2943210
21.7TE4221120
44.9TE2774290
511.3TE1264331
67.4TE2265420
76.7TE2185420
85.6TE1844360
90.0TE543000
102.2TE3752120
115.3TE1954330
1310.9TE896790
141.8TE402280
151.7TE4831120
164.6TE2242360
174.1TE2944210
186.0TE2043450