Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Emari Demercado

KC

RB58 · overall #183 · tier 9 · age 27

← back to rankings

Projected points

71

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-17

repl 110

Range

36–106

sd 35

Week

4.4

vs DEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.8
Carries / game
5.6
Receptions / game
1.4
Rec yards / game
10
Rush yards / game
30
Rush TD / game
0.09
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.12
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
36
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.3
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.25
OL pass protection
+0.05
OL continuity
87%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.01
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
50
Effective contributors
2.66
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.56

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DEN,IND,MIA
Window matchup
+0.77
Opponents after
LV,LAC
After matchup
+0.12
Flip edge
+0.65
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.00

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

51.8

Per game

4.32

17-gm pace

73

Best / worst

11.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.00000000
30.02001000
49.128022131
56.138100000
60.11101000
98.31479011-10
1011.9464043400
113.058032120
151.11103200
163.053001000
173.051103290
186.2229011280