Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Emari Demercado

DAL

RB82 · overall #290 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

30

3.2/gm

Value over replacement

-38

repl 116

Range

0–64

sd 34

Week

0.8

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.4
Carries / game
2.8
Receptions / game
1.0
Rec yards / game
7
Rush yards / game
15
Rush TD / game
0.06
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.07
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
36
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
+0.09
OL continuity
86%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.33
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
36
Effective contributors
2.15
Top player's share
66%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup
-0.09
Opponents after
PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup
+0.38
Flip edge
-0.47
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.44

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

12

Points

45.3

Per game

3.78

17-gm pace

64

Best / worst

10.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.0RB810000000
30.0RB762001000
48.1RB3128022131
56.1RB2938100000
60.1RB651101000
97.8RB251479011-10
1010.4RB18464043400
112.0RB5358032120
150.1RB771103200
163.0RB5653001000
172.0RB5551103290
185.7RB30229011280