Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Eli Heidenreich

PITROOKIE R7

RB160 · overall #637 · tier

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Projected points

5

0.3/gm

Value over replacement

-98

repl 110

Range

0–22

sd 18

Week

0.3

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
1
Carries
5
Receptions
1
Rec yards
7
Rush yards
22
Rush TD
0.2
Rec TD
0.0
Total TD
0.2
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.48
OL pass protection
+0.07
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
86
Effective contributors
2.14
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ATL,NE,CIN
Window matchup
+0.19
Opponents after
CLE,IND,TB
After matchup
-0.03
Flip edge
+0.22
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.17

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Eli Heidenreich — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.