Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Eli Heidenreich

PITROOKIE R7

RB138 · overall #530 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

3

0.3/gm

Value over replacement

-74

repl 116

Range

0–23

sd 20

Week

0.1

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.1
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
0.1
Rec yards / game
0
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.01
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
86
Effective contributors
2.14
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
-0.14
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
-0.05
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.21

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Eli Heidenreich — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.