RB
Devin Neal
NORB77 · overall #275 · tier – · age 23
Projected points
48
4.2/gm
Value over replacement
-35
repl 116
Range
10–85
sd 37
Week
1.4
vs ATL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.6
- Carries / game
- 4.7
- Receptions / game
- 1.3
- Rec yards / game
- 9
- Rush yards / game
- 19
- Rush TD / game
- 0.13
- Rec TD / game
- 0.01
- Total TD / game
- 0.14
- Games projected
- 11.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.6
- Games of history
- 9
- Age multiplier
- 1.045
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.21
- OL pass protection
- +0.11
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.26
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.59
- Top player's share
- 44%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ATL,MIN,NYG
- Window matchup
- +0.41
- Opponents after
- PIT,CLE
- After matchup
- -0.10
- Flip edge
- +0.51
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.57
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
9
Points
43.0
Per game
4.78
17-gm pace
81
Best / worst
14.4 / 0.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9 | RB63 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.1 | RB72 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 1.1 | RB56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.2 | RB52 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | 3.1 | RB43 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 | 6.1 | RB26 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 | 6.9 | RB38 | 14 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 | 14.4 | RB12 | 19 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 | 9.2 | RB25 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |