Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Devin Neal

NO

RB77 · overall #275 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

48

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 116

Range

10–85

sd 37

Week

1.4

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.6
Carries / game
4.7
Receptions / game
1.3
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
19
Rush TD / game
0.13
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.14
Games projected
11.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.6
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.59
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
-0.10
Flip edge
+0.51
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

9

Points

60.0

Per game

6.67

17-gm pace

113

Best / worst

15.4 / 0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.9RB702900000
70.1RB721100000
84.1RB4400033110
92.2RB5231101110
106.1RB3842203390
1211.1RB22718075430
139.9RB361447033220
1415.4RB151970111140
1510.2RB2772811140