WR
DeVonta Smith
PHIWR17 · overall #46 · tier 5 · age 27
Projected points
165
11.3/gm
Value over replacement
57
repl 119
Range
111–219
sd 54
Week
11.6
vs LA
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 7.3
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 4.9
- Rec yards / game
- 65
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.39
- Total TD / game
- 0.39
- Games projected
- 14.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.2
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +1.28
- OL pass protection
- +1.10
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.90
- Scheme creativity
- +0.20
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 46%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 63
- Effective contributors
- 2.93
- Top player's share
- 42%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.79
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LA,JAX,CAR
- Window matchup
- +0.11
- Opponents after
- DAL,WAS,NYG
- After matchup
- +0.99
- Flip edge
- -0.88
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.27
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
124.8
Per game
7.34
17-gm pace
125
Best / worst
24.3 / 0.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.6 | WR82 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.3 | WR55 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.0 | WR16 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 2.9 | WR62 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 11.4 | WR17 | 10 | 8 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.9 | WR39 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 24.3 | WR1 | 11 | 9 | 183 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 8.4 | WR27 | 9 | 6 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 12.9 | WR17 | 7 | 4 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.8 | WR94 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 8.9 | WR25 | 11 | 6 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.8 | WR41 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.7 | WR43 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 5.0 | WR48 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 10.2 | WR22 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.5 | WR66 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.2 | WR31 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |