Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Darnell Mooney

NYG

WR66 · overall #155 · tier 9 · age 28

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Projected points

102

7.2/gm

Value over replacement

-3

repl 119

Range

21–183

sd 81

Week

5.3

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.6
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
3.2
Rec yards / game
43
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.20
Total TD / game
0.20
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.8
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.53
Top player's share
47%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.48
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.88
Flip edge
+1.36
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.85

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

15

Points

82.3

Per game

5.49

17-gm pace

93

Best / worst

16.4 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
24.0WR864220000
38.4WR4311444000
42.5WR941115000
79.8WR315368000
82.1WR794111000
92.5WR812115000
102.7WR768117000
116.4WR507334000
1216.4WR163374100
134.5WR695225000
141.6WR87416000
156.5WR576335000
164.4WR782224000
175.5WR593235000
185.0WR557320000